Here’s my portfolio review for the first half of 2024. I was up 7.1% while global markets rose 11.1% and the trust sector gained 5.8%.
My performance
This table summarises both my recent and longer-term performance against a range of comparators:
Portfolio/comparators | H1 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | Annualised since Jan 2018 |
---|---|---|---|---|
My portfolio | +7.1% | +9.2% | -13.0% | +7.3% |
Vanguard FTSE Global All Cap (fund) | +11.1% | +14.7% | -8.0% | +9.7% |
Vanguard LifeStrategy 60 (fund) | +5.8% | +10.1% | -11.2% | +5.0% |
Vanguard UK All-Share Index (fund) | +7.9% | +7.8% | +0.3% | +4.6% |
FTSE Closed-End Investment (index) | +5.8% | +4.9% | -16.6% | +5.8% |
Notes: The Vanguard global tracker fund is my main comparator while the more conservative LifeStrategy 60 fund, a UK index tracking fund, and an index of UK investment trusts provide additional reference points. All returns are pre-tax and measured in sterling using a unitised method that adjusts for any money put in or withdrawn. All my trading and admin costs are included in my returns but not for the fund and index returns.
Markets continued to rise in the second quarter even though interest rate cuts haven’t materialised as quickly as expected. The 10-year gilt yield rose from 3.6% to 4.2%, roughly the same level it hit back in October 2022 but lower than the 4.6% level it was last autumn. The UK election hasn’t had much effect on markets although we could soon see some tax changes that impact investors.
My performance by holding
Here’s how my positions performed on a share price and NAV basis along with their period-end premium/discount:
Holding (ticker) | Share price return H1 2024 | Net asset value return H1 2024 | Premium/ (discount) |
---|---|---|---|
JPMorgan Global Growth & Income (JGGI) | +17.1% | +17.9% | +0.8% |
Vanguard All-World ETF (VWRL) | +12.0% | +12.0% | – |
Lindsell Train Global | +7.5% | +7.5% | – |
Fundsmith Equity | +9.4% | +9.4% | – |
Smithson (SSON) | -2.6% | -1.8% | -12.9% |
RIT Capital Partners (RCP) | -2.2% | +5.5% | -28.4% |
Keystone Positive Change (KPC) | +0.7% | -0.4% | -12.0% |
Gresham House Energy Storage (GRID) | -35.5% | +2.2% | -46.9% |
Bluefield Solar Income (BSIF) | -7.1% | +1.7% | -20.8% |
HICL Infrastructure (HICL) | -7.2% | +1.8% | -21.2% |
HgCapital Trust (HGT) | +12.7% | +2.5% | -4.7% |
Bellevue Healthcare (BBH) | -8.7% | -6.8% | -7.1% |
Worldwide Healthcare (WWH) | +17.1% | +14.3% | -9.3% |
International Biotechnology (IBT) | +0.3% | +6.3% | -11.3% |
Baronsmead Venture Trust (BVT) | +8.8% | +3.2% | -4.4% |
Henderson Smaller Companies (HSL) | +4.8% | +7.5% | -13.0% |
BlackRock Smaller Companies (BSRC) | +7.0% | +6.1% | -10.4% |
KR1 (KR1) | -27.2% | -27.8% | -15.6% |
Note: the links go to my trust profiles, which were written some time ago now and therefore don’t reflect recent events and results.
The weighted average discount across all my positions was 4.7% at the end of June. That compares to 4.9% at the end of March and as of December 2023, so it has narrowed a fraction.
In terms of trading, I sold a little of my taxable RIT position and reinvested in Bluefield Solar, Gresham House Energy Storage, and Henderson Smaller. I also topped up my position in HICL Infrastructure now that it reckons it can finally start increasing its dividend again.
Global
I don’t have much new to say about Fundsmith, Lindsell Train Global, VWRL, or JGGI — the latter continues to perform very strongly and recently announced a 24% hike in its dividend as its payout is pegged to its end of June NAV per share.
RIT has seen its discount widen out again although there have been reports of the new management team becoming a little more transparent although I don’t think there has been anything that retail investors can access — something that clearly needs to be addressed.
Smithson comfortably passed its continuation vote and the Chairman was re-elected with fewer votes against than last year, which was somewhat of a surprise I thought. This trust has lagged its small and mid-cap benchmark again so far in 2024.
Keystone’s performance has also been disappointing this year. While it held up a little better than other Baillie Gifford trusts a couple of years ago, it hasn’t recovered to the same extent in recent months. I suspect the two are linked. Saba, the activist investor, has continued to add to its Keystone position. And since starting to buy back its shares in November 2023, Keystone has repurchased around 2m of 62m shares — a reasonable pace for a trust of its size but yet to narrow the discount much.
Renewables and Infrastructure
HICL’s underlying cash flows have now increased to the point where it feels comfortable targeting a modest dividend increase for the year ending March 2026. That’s still a little way off but highlights the visibility it has over its future cash flows. HICL has made good progress on selective disposals and reducing the balance outstanding on debt facilities.
Bluefield Solar has had a quiet quarter. I’m waiting for news on GLIL buying a 50% stake in 100MW of its assets, a deal flagged several months ago as part of a wider agreement.
In my last review, I said I was dithering about Gresham House Energy Storage and waiting for its latest results before deciding on a course of action. In the end, I decided its problems seemed to be more than in the share price and increased my position size by 50% (although it’s still a fairly small holding relative to most others I have).
The share price has since recovered a fair bit since then on the back of slightly better revenues and a tolling agreement with Octopus that has essentially sold income from half its portfolio at a fixed price for the next two years. I like this deal a lot as it seems to have secured a decent level of base revenues, but not tied in GRID for too long, while still allowing for some upside if prices recover quicker than expected. It increases the likelihood of dividends resuming next year, too.
The build-out of the portfolio and site upgrades to 2-hour durations appears by to be a little behind schedule but not to any great degree. A disposal or two wouldn’t go amiss to give investors more confidence in the asset valuations.
Tech-Focused Private Equity
The Money Makers podcast that Jim Strang, the Chair of HGT, did with Jonathan Davis a few weeks ago is worth a listen. The discount here has remained at single-digit levels for a few months now, which is encouraging.
Biotechnology and Healthcare
Worldwide Healthcare faces its next five-yearly continuation vote at its AGM on 10 July, which should be plain sailing. I was a little disappointed that the latest annual results didn’t feature the directors’ review of the managers, something they said would be happening in the previous set of results, but performance here has improved of late.
Nothing of particular note has happened with either International Biotechnology or BB Healthcare although the latter continues to be dragged down by its exposure to small and mid-cap healthcare plays.
UK Smaller Companies
Both Henderson and BlackRock Smaller showed some tentative signs of a long-overdue rebound this quarter. Hopefully, we are still in the very early stages of sustained recovery.
I’ve finally moved my Baronsmead Venture holding out of certificated form and onto a retail platform. It was a very quick process in the end – I was expecting it to take several weeks but it was done in a few days. Unfortunately, all the major platforms that I have looked at don’t seem to offer online dealing in this stock at the moment so I may need to resort to old-fashioned telephone dealing when I do decide to sell some of this position.
Crypto
KR1 has bought back a few shares but recent declines in crypto prices have knocked the value of its portfolio. Its 2023 results were published a lot quicker than in previous years, another sign that governance is steadily improving.
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Disclaimer
Please note that I may own some of the investments mentioned above -- you can see my current holdings on my portfolio page.
Nothing on this website should be regarded as a buy or sell recommendation as I'm just a random person writing a blog in his spare time and I am not authorised to give financial advice. Always do your own research and seek financial advice if necessary!
Thanks for the latest update. I hold several of the same trusts and have been particularly happy with the performance of HGT and JGGI. I find the persistent deep discount of RIT a puzzle, and assume (perhaps wrongly) that it will snap back to single digit discount at some stage.
However, my biggest concern is BB Healthcare, which is in your portfolio. I attended the last AGM, and, along with several other shareholders, was unimpressed by the management’s answer to the trust’s persistent poor performance.
The managers’ monthly fact sheets are far too woffly, and I was surprised to find in a note to BBH’s accounts (page 48) that the directors have abandoned taking their fees in the form of shares, and are now going to be paid in cash. The decision has been made “in order to continually attract high quality and diverse candidates as non-executive directors”. It is rare for a trust to pay its directors fees in shares, and this is one of the reasons that attracted me to the trust in the first place.
In a bid to control its discount the trust offers an annual redemption option to its shareholders. Last year, some 14.3% of the trust’s share were redeemed and given the long-term underperformance relative to the MSCI World Healthcare Index, it would be surprising if a substantial number of shareholders did not take advantage of the annual redemption facility to reduce the size of the trust even more later this year.
It was encouraging to see that Saba, an activist investor, popped up on the share register with a 5% stake in April. Perhaps they will shake things up.
Given that BBH is backed by a specialist Swiss healthcare investor I still hope that BBH will eventually come good. But am beginning to think I should swallow my losses and switch into Polar Capital Global Healthcare.
Would be interested in your verdict on BBH.
Yes, BBH has been underwhelming for a while now and the factsheets, while entertaining at times, have become a bit monotonous of late and potentially a distraction for the managers. I must admit I missed the change with the directors fees so thanks for pointing that out.
The managers often point to the small and mid-cap focus being the main reason for lagging the healthcare index. That seemed to be the case a while ago and they also stayed away from the likes of Moderna during COVID and GLP-1 drugs more recently which hurt returns versus the benchmark as well. But I probably need to look more closely at the underperformance again to see whether that explanation still holds up. They have stuck to their guns with the ‘changing nature of health care’ strategy and I still like that idea as an overarching theme.
It’s still a sizeable trust so I’m not too worried if it shrinks a little more and I think there was a bit of discount at the last redemption point as it was near the autumn lows last year so that may have caused some folks to cash in for a quick uplift.
Consider adding MYI back into portfolio?
Any thoughts on THRG instead of HSL and BRSC?
No plans to reconsider MYI at this stage but will keep half an eye on it to see how the new management duo are doing. THRG obviously has a lot in common with BRSC but I have tended to slightly favour the latter due to its simpler structure of long-only rather than the long-short model, largely down to personal preference. If we do have a strong bull run in UK small caps then THRG could perform a little better of course.
KR1 is about to pump in the next few months IMO and could easily achieve a 100% return from here.