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The Caledonia Conundrum: Will That Discount Ever Narrow?

<p>The shipping empire turned investment trust Caledonia Investments &lpar;CLDN&rpar; is currently one of my biggest holdings&period; It&&num;8217&semi;s one of a few listed funds that is still family controlled and it boasts a 51-year track record of increasing its dividend&period; What&&num;8217&semi;s more&comma; it&&num;8217&semi;s beaten the UK market by a respectable margin since it became a fully fledged investment vehicle in 1987&period; Yet it persistently trades at a discount to net assets of around 20&percnt;&period; So&comma; what gives&quest;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><&excl;--more--><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Part of the problem is that Caledonia is pretty conservative in its outlook&period; And although it uses a UK benchmark&comma; it&&num;8217&semi;s usually&comma; and correctly&comma; lumped in with global investment trusts&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Certainly&comma; other global investment trusts&comma; most notably Scottish Mortgage &lpar;SMT&rpar;&comma; have been far more swashbuckling in their approach&period; That&&num;8217&semi;s somewhat ironic perhaps&comma; considering Caledonia&&num;8217&semi;s higher-risk&comma; sea-faring roots&excl;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>My initial stake in Caledonia dates back to 2011&comma; and I&&num;8217&semi;ve topped up my holding a number of times since&period; Up until a couple of years ago&comma; it was pretty much keeping up with its global brethren&period; It seems that a large cash position and a low weighting of US stocks have held back its most recent returns&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<h2>Caledonia&&num;8217&semi;s performance<&sol;h2>&NewLine;<p>You can see this recent tail-off in Caledonia&&num;8217&semi;s performance in the chart below&period; It&&num;8217&semi;s also noticeable that it didn&&num;8217&semi;t get off to an auspicious start&comma; trailing the market for most of its first fifteen years&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Indeed&comma; it&&num;8217&semi;s main period of outperformance was probably 2000-2007&comma; so that&&num;8217&semi;s now over a decade ago&period; I suspect it wasn&&num;8217&semi;t particularly overexposed to tech shares during the dot-com boom and subsequent bust&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><a href&equals;"http&colon;&sol;&sol;www&period;itinvestor&period;co&period;uk&sol;wp-content&sol;uploads&sol;2018&sol;09&sol;CLDN&lowbar;NAV&lowbar;growth&period;png"><img class&equals;"alignnone size-full wp-image-481" src&equals;"http&colon;&sol;&sol;www&period;itinvestor&period;co&period;uk&sol;wp-content&sol;uploads&sol;2018&sol;09&sol;CLDN&lowbar;NAV&lowbar;growth&period;png" alt&equals;"Caledonia Investments NAV growth since 1987" width&equals;"557" height&equals;"393" &sol;><&sol;a><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>In terms of hard figures&comma; its record from 1987 to 2017 was a 9&period;6&percnt; average annual return&period; This compares to  8&period;1&percnt; for the FTSE All-Share and 3&period;3&percnt; for UK inflation&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Caledonia has three stated aims&period; The first is outperforming the UK market over rolling 10-year periods and UK inflation by 3-6&percnt; over shorter &lpar;undefined&rpar; periods&period; While it&&num;8217&semi;s ahead since 1987&comma; it&&num;8217&semi;s slightly behind the market over the last 10 years&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<h2>A &lpar;low-yielding&rpar; dividend hero<&sol;h2>&NewLine;<p>Caledonia&&num;8217&semi;s second stated aim is to pay an increasing annual dividend&period; It seems to have ticked that box pretty comprehensively&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><a href&equals;"http&colon;&sol;&sol;www&period;itinvestor&period;co&period;uk&sol;wp-content&sol;uploads&sol;2018&sol;09&sol;CLDN&lowbar;dividend&lowbar;record&period;png"><img class&equals;"alignnone size-large wp-image-482" src&equals;"http&colon;&sol;&sol;www&period;itinvestor&period;co&period;uk&sol;wp-content&sol;uploads&sol;2018&sol;09&sol;CLDN&lowbar;dividend&lowbar;record-600x358&period;png" alt&equals;"Caledonia Investments dividend growth record" width&equals;"600" height&equals;"358" &sol;><&sol;a><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Caledonia is one of <a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;www&period;theaic&period;co&period;uk&sol;aic&sol;news&sol;press-releases&sol;aic-dividend-heroes">the leading dividend heroes<&sol;a> as defined by the AIC&comma; the industry body for investment trusts&period; Only City of London &lpar;which I also own&rpar;&comma; Bankers&comma; and Alliance Trust can boast a longer record&comma; and they only outmatch Caledonia by a single year&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>A 100p per share special dividend was paid in 2017&comma; and further ones could be paid should there be surplus funds&period; As far as I can tell&comma; only two other special dividends have been paid previously&colon; 70p in 2000 and 30p in 1997&period; So&comma; I wouldn&&num;8217&semi;t count on them becoming a frequent occurrence&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Despite the long track record of increases&comma; the current yield on last year&&num;8217&semi;s 57p per share dividend is only 2&period;0&percnt;&period; As a percentage of net assets&comma; the yield is just 1&period;7&percnt;&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<&excl;-- WP QUADS Content Ad Plugin v&period; 2&period;0&period;98 -->&NewLine;<div class&equals;"quads-location quads-ad3665 " id&equals;"quads-ad3665" style&equals;"float&colon;left&semi;margin&colon;10px 10px 10px 0&semi;padding&colon;0px 0px 0px 0&semi;" data-lazydelay&equals;"3000">&NewLine;<hr style&equals;"height&colon;5px"> &NewLine;<h3 style&equals;"text-align&colon; center&semi;">Join the Money Makers circle<&sol;h3>&NewLine;<p>I've teamed up with Jonathan Davis&comma; the editor of The Investment Trusts Handbook&comma; at Money Makers where I am now writing regular articles on trusts and funds&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>For more details of what you get by joining as a member <span style&equals;"color&colon; &num;0000ff&semi;"><a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;money-makers&period;co&sol;membership-join&sol;"><strong>please click here<&sol;strong><&sol;a>&period;<&sol;span><&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;<hr style&equals;"height&colon;5px"> &NewLine;<&sol;div>&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Recent dividend growth &lpar;that special dividend apart&rpar; has been a little pedestrian&period; After a 16&percnt; increase in 2012 and a 10&percnt; jump the year after&comma; the last five years have seen an average of just 3&percnt;&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The popularity of income investing has surged in recent years&period; And some funds even have stated dividend targets&comma; paid out from capital if needed&period; Caledonia&&num;8217&semi;s low yield is therefore perhaps another reason why its discount has steadfastly refused to narrow&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Caledonia&&num;8217&semi;s third and final aim is to &&num;8220&semi;manage investment risk consistent with long-term wealth generation&&num;8221&semi;&period; That seems pretty meaningless to me&comma; so I&&num;8217&semi;m going to ignore it&excl;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<h2>Meet the Cayzers<&sol;h2>&NewLine;<p>The Cayzer family control 48&period;5&percnt; of Caledonia&&num;8217&semi;s shares&comma; mostly through the Cayzer Family Trust Ltd&period; A little history is worth recounting at this stage&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Charles Cayzer set up the Clan Line in 1878&period; I don&&num;8217&semi;t think it was part of the inspiration for the 70s BBC TV serial <em>The Onedin Line<&sol;em>&comma; but it shared its Liverpool roots&period; It had 100 ships by 1916 but suffered many losses during both World Wars&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The Clan Line merged with the Union Castle Line in the 1950s&comma; forming British &amp&semi; Commonwealth Holdings&period; The Cayzers injected their holding in British &amp&semi; Commonwealth into a company called Foreign Railways Investment Trust&comma; renaming it Caledonia Investments&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Caledonia joined the stock market in 1960&period; Over the next few decades&comma; British &amp&semi; Commonwealth stopped building ships and used the cash flow from shipping to expand into hotels&comma; engineering&comma; chemicals&comma; financial services and airlines&period; Caledonia&&num;8217&semi;s holding reduced from high 40&percnt; to the low 30&percnt; during this period&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The Cayzers sold out completely from British &amp&semi; Commonwealth in 1987&comma; effectively starting again with Caledonia Investments as their main investing vehicle&period; That proved to be very prescient&period; The following year British &amp&semi; Commonwealth bought Atlantic Computers&comma; only to fall into administration in 1990 after significant accounting irregularities were discovered&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>So that is a long-winded explanation as to why Caledonia&&num;8217&semi;s track record effectively starts in 1987&comma; despite its 51-year record of rising dividends&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<h2>Wyatt takes the reins<&sol;h2>&NewLine;<p>Another bit of history worth mentioning is a fairly major shift in strategy following the appointment of Will Wyatt as CEO in 2010&period; In fact&comma; I think it was articles covering this that first piqued my interest in Caledonia&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Up until this time&comma; Caledonia had a strong sector focus&comma; most notably in financial services&period; It had stakes in Rathbones&comma; Fleming&comma; Close Brothers &lpar;where Wyatt was recruited from in 1997&rpar; and Polar Capital&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>These are Caledonia&&num;8217&semi;s investment themes now&colon;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><a href&equals;"http&colon;&sol;&sol;www&period;itinvestor&period;co&period;uk&sol;wp-content&sol;uploads&sol;2018&sol;09&sol;Caledonia&lowbar;strategic&lowbar;allocation&period;png"><img class&equals;"alignnone size-large wp-image-485" src&equals;"http&colon;&sol;&sol;www&period;itinvestor&period;co&period;uk&sol;wp-content&sol;uploads&sol;2018&sol;09&sol;Caledonia&lowbar;strategic&lowbar;allocation-600x235&period;png" alt&equals;"Caledonia Investments strategic allocation" width&equals;"600" height&equals;"235" &sol;><&sol;a><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The split between quoted&comma; unquoted and funds has shades of <a href&equals;"http&colon;&sol;&sol;www&period;itinvestor&period;co&period;uk&sol;2018&sol;07&sol;rit-capital-partners-rcp&sol;">RIT Capital Partners<&sol;a>&comma; although RIT has more in funds and less in the way of directly listed investments&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>I can&&num;8217&semi;t say I&&num;8217&semi;m that bothered that most of the allocations are outside of its stated strategic range&comma; although it does perhaps give an indication of which direction Caledonia is most likely to move in&period; Expect to see a little less in the way of funds and cash&comma; but perhaps a little more in income investments and unquoted&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Breaking it down a little further&comma; these are Caledonia&&num;8217&semi;s top investments as of 31 March 2018&colon;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><a href&equals;"http&colon;&sol;&sol;www&period;itinvestor&period;co&period;uk&sol;wp-content&sol;uploads&sol;2018&sol;09&sol;Caledonia&lowbar;top&lowbar;investments&period;png"><img class&equals;"alignnone size-large wp-image-484" src&equals;"http&colon;&sol;&sol;www&period;itinvestor&period;co&period;uk&sol;wp-content&sol;uploads&sol;2018&sol;09&sol;Caledonia&lowbar;top&lowbar;investments-600x506&period;png" alt&equals;"Caledonia Investments top investments" width&equals;"600" height&equals;"506" &sol;><&sol;a><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Long-term holding Polar Capital remains in the mix&period; Close Brothers was sold a couple of years ago&comma; though&comma; having been a core holding since 1987&period; Most of Caledonia&&num;8217&semi;s other main investments have been made since the shift in strategy&comma; with Spirax-Sparco often mentioned in glowing terms&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>This summer&comma; Caledonia invested £92&period;5m in a majority stake in Cooke Optics&period; Follow-up investments of £14m have been made in both Gala Bingo and Seven Investment Management&comma; too&period; But Caledonia still retains a pretty large cash position&comma; due to concerns about the UK and US economies&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Should opportunities arise&comma; Caledonia looks pretty well placed to pounce&period; As well as its cash position&comma; it also has access to £250m of borrowing facilities&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<h2>The challenge of costs<&sol;h2>&NewLine;<p>Caledonia&&num;8217&semi;s stated ongoing charge last year was 0&period;9&percnt;&comma; which seems fairly reasonable on the face of it&period; Total management expenses charged to the profit and loss account were £23m&comma; which was about 1&period;25&percnt; of year-end net assets&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Turn to the much-maligned Key Information Document and total charges&comma; including those made by the funds Caledonia invests in&comma; and the figure leaps to 2&period;5&percnt;&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>I&&num;8217&semi;ve been somewhat glib about fund costs in the past&comma; and I often need to refresh my memory about which type of costs are included in the various different definitions&period; However&comma; I suspect it&&num;8217&semi;s something I will be focusing more on in the future&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>With Caledonia&comma; I&&num;8217&semi;m surprised there is such a big gap between the headline and KID figures&period; The latter breaks down into 0&period;07&percnt; for trading costs&comma; 0&period;26&percnt; for performance fees and a staggering 2&period;16&percnt; for other&period; With a quarter of its money invested in funds&comma; you&&num;8217&semi;d expect the underlying costs to bump up its expenses&comma; but not by that much&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>It would be good to see a breakdown of this &&num;8216&semi;other&&num;8217&semi; figure in future KIDs&period; The Caledonia annual report also seems very light on the discussion of costs as well&period; So black marks all round on this front&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<h2>Still a fan&comma; for the most part<&sol;h2>&NewLine;<p>I still like Caledonia Investments&comma; despite its weaker performance of late compared to other global investment trusts&period; As I alluded to earlier&comma; that seems to be down to a low US weighting and sitting on cash&period; There doesn&&num;8217&semi;t seem to be an underlying problem with the investments it&&num;8217&semi;s selecting&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Its share price tends to be a bit less volatile than the UK market&comma; which appeals to me&comma; and I like the look of its current slate of unquoted investments&period; I am planning to cut down my position size a little&comma; but that&&num;8217&semi;s something I&&num;8217&semi;m doing across my entire portfolio&period; I will&comma; however&comma; be keeping an eye on its costs&period; A prolonged period of poor performance could see it get the chop entirely&comma; depending on the reasons why&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>I&&num;8217&semi;m not expecting the discount to narrow particularly unless Caledonia takes specific action to address it&period; I&&num;8217&semi;d like to see a little more action on that front&period; The presence of the Cayzer family means the likelihood of activist shaking things up seems pretty low&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The <a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;www&period;caledonia&period;com&sol;">company&&num;8217&semi;s website<&sol;a> is a good source of information for further reading&comma; particularly the <a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;www&period;caledonia&period;com&sol;files&sol;file&sol;download&sol;id&sol;1071">Capital Markets Day presentation<&sol;a> from last year&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<hr style&equals;""height&colon;3px"">&NewLine;<h3>Subscribe to IT Investor<&sol;h3>&NewLine;<p>Get an email alert every time I publish a new article&period; Your email address won't be used for anything else&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><div class&equals;"tnp tnp-subscription ">&NewLine;<form method&equals;"post" action&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;www&period;itinvestor&period;co&period;uk&sol;wp-admin&sol;admin-ajax&period;php&quest;action&equals;tnp&amp&semi;na&equals;s">&NewLine;<input type&equals;"hidden" name&equals;"nlang" value&equals;"">&NewLine;<div class&equals;"tnp-field tnp-field-email"><label for&equals;"tnp-1">Enter your email address&period;&period;&period;<&sol;label>&NewLine;<input class&equals;"tnp-email" type&equals;"email" name&equals;"ne" id&equals;"tnp-1" value&equals;"" placeholder&equals;"" required><&sol;div>&NewLine;<div class&equals;"tnp-field tnp-field-button" style&equals;"text-align&colon; left"><input class&equals;"tnp-submit" type&equals;"submit" value&equals;"Click here to subscribe" style&equals;"">&NewLine;<&sol;div>&NewLine;<&sol;form>&NewLine;<&sol;div>&NewLine;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<hr style&equals;""height&colon;3px"">&NewLine;&NewLine; &NewLine;&nbsp&semi;&NewLine;<hr style&equals;"height&colon;3px">&NewLine;<h3>Disclaimer<&sol;h3>&NewLine;<p>Please note that I may own some of the investments mentioned above -- you can see my current holdings on <a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;www&period;itinvestor&period;co&period;uk&sol;portfolio&sol;">my portfolio page<&sol;a>&period; <&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Nothing on this website should be regarded as a buy or sell recommendation as I'm just a random person writing a blog in his spare time and I am not authorised to give financial advice&period; Always do your own research and seek financial advice if necessary&excl;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<&sol;p>&NewLine;

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