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Q1 2019: Are You Sitting Uncomfortably?

<p>I last did a portfolio review at the end of 2018&comma; so the end of the first quarter seems like a decent time for another catch-up and some more pithy observations&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><&excl;--more--><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Previously&comma; I said that my trading activity was likely to be a lot less frantic this year than <a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;www&period;itinvestor&period;co&period;uk&sol;2019&sol;01&sol;2018-review-reshuffling-my-pack&sol;">it was in 2018<&sol;a>&period; That&&num;8217&semi;s definitely proved to be the case so far&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>For the most part&comma; I have just been stacking up dividends to reinvest them in positions I am either in the process of building up or that look particularly good value&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>As a brief aside&comma; if you&&num;8217&semi;re into dividend investing&comma; a new section called <a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;www&period;theaic&period;co&period;uk&sol;income-finder&sol;income-builder">Income Builder<&sol;a> has just been added to the AIC website&period; Once you register&comma; you can enter details of your holdings and it will show how much income they&&num;8217&semi;ve paid in recent years on a month by month basis&period; There&&num;8217&semi;s also a useful dividend diary to see what payments are coming soon&period; It&&num;8217&semi;s fairly basic as portfolio trackers go&comma; but it looks like a nicely designed tool nonetheless&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>In January&comma; I took advantage of an overly large discount at Acorn Income to make a small top-up&period; I&&num;8217&semi;ll probably do a piece on this fund in the next month or so&period; It has an interesting capital structure that makes it a little different &lpar;and riskier&rpar; than other UK small-cap investment trusts&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>I also invested in the latest offer for <a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;www&period;itinvestor&period;co&period;uk&sol;2018&sol;11&sol;vcts-take-a-brave-leap-forward&sol;">Baronsmead Venture Trust<&sol;a>&period; That was unexpectedly livened up by its largest investment &lpar;Staffline&comma; accounting for 5&percnt; of its assets&rpar; having its shares suspended shortly afterwards due to accounting concerns&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Often&comma; such news proves fatal&period; Staffline&comma; however&comma; recently began trading again&period; What&&num;8217&semi;s more&comma; its shares have made up most of their previous losses&period; Thankfully&comma; its problems turned out to be relatively minor&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Phew&excl;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<h2>ISA rejigging<&sol;h2>&NewLine;<p>In preparation for using my 2019&sol;20 ISA allowance&comma; I trimmed my non-ISA position in <a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;www&period;itinvestor&period;co&period;uk&sol;2018&sol;09&sol;the-caledonia-conundrum&sol;">Caledonia Investments<&sol;a> in March&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Caledonia&&num;8217&semi;s discount has narrowed a little bit this year&comma; possibly helped by the fact it shifted AIC sectors from Global to Flexible&period; While it looked like a straggler compared to the likes of Scottish Mortgage&comma; it now appears to be a thoroughbred next to its new stablemates&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>I&&num;8217&semi;m still debating what to invest in with my 2019&sol;20 ISA&period; I might plump for a combination of <a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;www&period;itinvestor&period;co&period;uk&sol;2018&sol;11&sol;gresham-house-energy-storage-income-growth-from-the-grid&sol;">Gresham House Energy Storage Fund<&sol;a> and Princess Private Equity &&num;8212&semi; the former being an initial position&comma; the latter a top-up where the discount has widened recently&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>And I&&num;8217&semi;m still considering adding to my &lpar;relatively small&rpar; position in <a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;www&period;itinvestor&period;co&period;uk&sol;2019&sol;03&sol;a-smooth-start-for-smithson&sol;">Smithson<&sol;a> with the cash I have received from dividends in the last few months&period; Its premium to net assets has narrowed to around 2&percnt;&comma; down from a range of 5-10&percnt; it commanded the first few months after it joined the market&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>All in all&comma; therefore&comma; nothing has happened to make me change any of my investing plans for 2019&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<h2>Those markets&comma; eh&quest;<&sol;h2>&NewLine;<p>You might recall the last quarter of 2018 was a tough time for global markets&period; At one point&comma; the S&amp&semi;P 500 fell a whisker under 20&percnt; from its highs earlier in the year&comma; although in sterling terms&comma; global markets ended 2018 down just 4&percnt;&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<&excl;-- WP QUADS Content Ad Plugin v&period; 2&period;0&period;95 -->&NewLine;<div class&equals;"quads-location quads-ad3665 " id&equals;"quads-ad3665" style&equals;"float&colon;left&semi;margin&colon;10px 10px 10px 0&semi;padding&colon;0px 0px 0px 0&semi;" data-lazydelay&equals;"3000">&NewLine;<hr style&equals;"height&colon;5px"> &NewLine;<h3 style&equals;"text-align&colon; center&semi;">Join the Money Makers circle<&sol;h3>&NewLine;<p>I've teamed up with Jonathan Davis&comma; the editor of The Investment Trusts Handbook&comma; at Money Makers where I am now writing regular articles on trusts and funds&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>For more details of what you get by joining as a member <span style&equals;"color&colon; &num;0000ff&semi;"><a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;money-makers&period;co&sol;membership-join&sol;"><strong>please click here<&sol;strong><&sol;a>&period;<&sol;span><&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;<hr style&equals;"height&colon;5px"> &NewLine;<&sol;div>&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>However&comma; the bounce-back in 2019 has been pretty spectacular&period; In sterling terms&comma; global markets gained 9&period;8&percnt; in the first quarter&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>And despite the ongoing chaos in Westminster&comma; the FTSE All-Share put in a similar performance&comma; returning 9&period;4&percnt;&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Pundits have been out in force trying to make sense of last year&&num;8217&semi;s downward lurch&period; As usual&comma; most of it is hot air&period; But I did come across an interesting explanation by Steve Eisman &lpar;who was played by Steve Carell in the movie version of Micheal Lewis&&num;8217&semi;s <a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;amzn&period;to&sol;2HS8bwP">The Big Short<&sol;a>&rpar;&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Eisman appeared on a recent edition of <a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;www&period;brewin&period;co&period;uk&sol;individuals&sol;insights&sol;regular-reflections&sol;a-big-name-on-a-short-podcast-with-steve-eisman&sol;">the Brewin Dolphin podcast<&sol;a>&period; He is an expert on the credit markets and sounded fairly sanguine about the health of that part of the global economy right now&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>His thesis was the falls of late 2018 were very much overdone&comma; given the relatively benign economic news of the time&period; But he reckoned that it indicated many investors were not at all comfortable with the risks they were taking with their equity holdings&period; Therefore&comma; at the first sniff of trouble&comma; they bolted for the door&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>If he&&num;8217&semi;s right then we can probably expect similar wobbles whenever there&&num;8217&semi;s some bad news about the global economy&period; That could be good for those looking to top up their investments&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<h2>What&&num;8217&semi;s been happening with investment trusts&quest;<&sol;h2>&NewLine;<p>The market vacillations do seem to have halted the rash of new investment trust issues we saw in the latter half of 2018&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>I think <a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;www&period;itinvestor&period;co&period;uk&sol;2019&sol;03&sol;baillie-gifford-chases-unicorns-with-schiehallion&sol;">The Schiehallion Fund<&sol;a>&comma; Baillie Gifford&&num;8217&semi;s unicorn hunter&comma; is the only new issue that we&&num;8217&semi;ve seen so far in 2019&period; It&&num;8217&semi;s already scampered to a 15&percnt; premium&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>There&&num;8217&semi;s been a fair amount of activity from already listed trusts&comma; especially in the renewable infrastructure sector&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>A total of £1&period;6bn was raised by all trusts&comma; with Greencoat UK Wind&comma; Greencoat Renewables&comma; Renewables Infrastructure Group and Tritax Big Box REIT accounting for half of that amount&comma; and all of them raising in excess of £100m&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>We also saw Primary Health Properties swallow MedicX&period; The combined company is valued at £1&period;5bn&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<h2>My performance in Q1 2019<&sol;h2>&NewLine;<p>My portfolio has performed pretty much in line with global markets over the last three months&period; Not that a quarter&&num;8217&semi;s performance means anything of course&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>For the record&comma; my main portfolio is up 7&period;5&percnt; and my SIPP has risen 12&period;7&percnt;&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>My portfolio held up a little better than the market in 2018&comma; so I&&num;8217&semi;m not that surprised to be lagging behind a little this year&period; Since the start of 2018&comma; it&&num;8217&semi;s up 5&period;3&percnt; while global markets are up 5&period;4&percnt;&period; My SIPP is up 19&period;8&percnt;&period; Again&comma; that&&num;8217&semi;s all in sterling terms and on a total return basis &lpar;i&period;e&period; including reinvested dividends&rpar;&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Among my holdings&comma; there hasn&&num;8217&semi;t been much out of the ordinary to report&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>JPMorgan Global Growth &amp&semi; Income has announced a manager change&comma; so I&&num;8217&semi;ll be looking at that in an article soon&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>HICL Infrastructure has just changed its domicile from Guernsey to the UK&period; It&&num;8217&semi;s largely an administrative change&comma; so I don&&num;8217&semi;t think it has much of an investment impact&period; This trust&&num;8217&semi;s usual premium to net assets seems to be narrowing again&comma; though&period; Perhaps it should be another potential top-up candidate for my 2019&sol;20 ISA&quest;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Elsewhere across my portfolio&comma; discounts mostly either seem to be narrowing or premiums increasing&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;www&period;itinvestor&period;co&period;uk&sol;2018&sol;10&sol;bluefield-solar-income-fund&sol;">Bluefield Solar Income Fund<&sol;a>&comma; for example&comma; is on a record premium of nearly 17&percnt;&excl; It does look like it is being conservative with its valuation assumptions while it&&num;8217&semi;s finalising deals to extend to life of its assets&comma; so I&&num;8217&semi;m cutting it some slack&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Across the whole investment trust sector&comma; the average discount has shrunk just a little&comma; from 4&period;3&percnt; to 3&period;8&percnt;&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<h2>Looking ahead<&sol;h2>&NewLine;<p>As for future investments&comma; I am yet to delve into <a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;www&period;itinvestor&period;co&period;uk&sol;2019&sol;03&sol;a-tempting-time-to-turn-to-tech&sol;">the tech trusts<&sol;a> I highlighted a few weeks back and still plan to investigate a few biotech funds as well&period; This is tinkering at the edges of my portfolio for the most part&comma; rather than any radical change&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>I am still in a state of cognitive dissonance when it comes to <a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;www&period;itinvestor&period;co&period;uk&sol;2019&sol;02&sol;kids-the-gloves-are-off&sol;">investment trust charges<&sol;a>&comma; torn between the idea that returns are the most important consideration and horror at the high level of underlying charges at the like of <a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;www&period;itinvestor&period;co&period;uk&sol;2019&sol;03&sol;rit-capital-partners-still-on-the-defensive&sol;">RIT Capital Partners<&sol;a>&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Part of the reason for starting this blog was to write down my thoughts on subjects like this&period; I&&num;8217&semi;m told it&&num;8217&semi;s the best way of seeing if they stand up to scrutiny&period; I am certainly finding it a useful process in that regard&comma; even if it&&num;8217&semi;s a little uncomfortable at times&excl;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Finally&comma; I am aiming to pop along to <a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;twitter&period;com&sol;mellotrusts">the Mello Trusts<&sol;a> event in May&comma; in a strictly recreational capacity&period; So&comma; I may see some of you there&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;

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