Categories: Blog

3 Ways To Overpower Your Monkey Brain

<p>Investing can be simple but it&&num;8217&semi;s rarely easy&period; Our monkey brains are constantly playing tricks on us and taking mental shortcuts that can undermine even the best investing decisions&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><&excl;--more--><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>There are well-known biases&comma; like the pain of a loss outweighs the pleasure of an equal-sized gain by two to three times&period; Or the fact that we all think that we are above average&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Delve a little deeper into behavioural finance&comma; and you&&num;8217&semi;ll find there are <a href&equals;"http&colon;&sol;&sol;www&period;psyfitec&period;com&sol;p&sol;the-big-list-of-behavioral-biases&period;html">a lot more tricks<&sol;a> you need to be wary of&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<h2>Putting up barriers<&sol;h2>&NewLine;<p>One popular way of managing these pitfalls is to put up barriers that force you to behave a little bit better&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Sometimes these are inflicted upon us &lpar;<a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;en&period;wikipedia&period;org&sol;wiki&sol;Nudge&lowbar;theory">nudge theory<&sol;a>&rpar;&comma; which some people don&&num;8217&semi;t mind but others find deeply creepy&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Or you can put them in place yourself&period; For example&comma; here&&num;8217&semi;s how <a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;www&period;betterment&period;com&sol;resources&sol;behavioral-science-monthly-cashflow&sol;">Betterment&&num;8217&semi;s Dan Egan<&sol;a> manages his monthly cash flow so that he saves enough and avoids lifestyle creep ratcheting up his expenses&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<h2>The only investing plan most people need&quest;<&sol;h2>&NewLine;<p>We could&comma; for example&comma; just invest in a simple 60&sol;40 portfolio &lpar;60&percnt; shares and 40&percnt; bonds&rpar; and let <a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;awealthofcommonsense&period;com&sol;2019&sol;01&sol;diversification-is-almost-undefeated&sol;">the power of diversification<&sol;a> do its thing as the decades unfold&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Arguably&comma; the best advice for most people &lpar;95&percnt;&plus; of the population perhaps&rpar; would be to set up monthly contributions into just such a portfolio&period; You&&num;8217&semi;d rebalance once a year&comma; but otherwise leave it alone until you retire&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>These days you can do the rebalancing automatically&period; You don&&num;8217&semi;t even need to look at your portfolio value along the way&excl;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Those of us who enjoy the game of investing&comma; that is the challenge of beating the market and learning more about how the world works&comma; need something more to keep us on the straight and narrow&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>These are three techniques I&&num;8217&semi;m using&period; They aren&&num;8217&semi;t barriers as such&comma; but ways I try and deflect my attention onto what really matters&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<h2>1&period; Focus on your whole portfolio<&sol;h2>&NewLine;<p>One thing I&&num;8217&semi;ve found particularly helpful to <a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;www&period;itinvestor&period;co&period;uk&sol;portfolio&sol;">consider my portfolio<&sol;a> as a team of investments working together&period; Some are good at one thing&comma; like capital growth&comma; while others contribute more in the way of income and stability&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>I can&&num;8217&semi;t remember where I read it but if you find all your investments tend to move in the same direction and by the same extent&comma; then it&&num;8217&semi;s time to worry&period; You may not be as well diversified as you think&excl;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>I try to remember this when one or two of my investments go through a rough patch&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<&excl;-- WP QUADS Content Ad Plugin v&period; 2&period;0&period;95 -->&NewLine;<div class&equals;"quads-location quads-ad3665 " id&equals;"quads-ad3665" style&equals;"float&colon;left&semi;margin&colon;10px 10px 10px 0&semi;padding&colon;0px 0px 0px 0&semi;" data-lazydelay&equals;"3000">&NewLine;<hr style&equals;"height&colon;5px"> &NewLine;<h3 style&equals;"text-align&colon; center&semi;">Join the Money Makers circle<&sol;h3>&NewLine;<p>I've teamed up with Jonathan Davis&comma; the editor of The Investment Trusts Handbook&comma; at Money Makers where I am now writing regular articles on trusts and funds&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>For more details of what you get by joining as a member <span style&equals;"color&colon; &num;0000ff&semi;"><a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;money-makers&period;co&sol;membership-join&sol;"><strong>please click here<&sol;strong><&sol;a>&period;<&sol;span><&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;<hr style&equals;"height&colon;5px"> &NewLine;<&sol;div>&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Murray International is a recent case in point for me&period; It has a great long-term record but struggled from 2013 to 2016 and in late 2017 and most of 2018&period; But it&&num;8217&semi;s rallied strongly in the last month or so&comma; much more so than most other global funds&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>One of the main reasons I chose it in the first place was that it took a different approach from most other global funds&comma; being less invested in the US and more in Asia Pacific and Latin America&period; Its manager&comma; the impressively dour Bruce Stout&comma; is often quoted railing against stock-market exuberance&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>As long as this fund&&num;8217&semi;s long-term performance is ok&comma; I don&&num;8217&semi;t mind it zigging while others are zagging&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<h2>The break-even disease<&sol;h2>&NewLine;<p>Down the years&comma; I&&num;8217&semi;ve found many investors are totally obsessed with their losers&comma; particularly when it comes to individual stocks&colon;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<ul>&NewLine;<li>whenever there&&num;8217&semi;s a major price fall their instinct is to top up so that they can reduce their average cost&period;<&sol;li>&NewLine;<li>they ask &&num;8220&semi;how can I expect to get back to break even from here&quest;&&num;8221&semi;<&sol;li>&NewLine;<li>many won&&num;8217&semi;t even contemplate selling an investment at a loss&comma; believing that to be a recognition of failure&period;<&sol;li>&NewLine;<&sol;ul>&NewLine;<p>I&&num;8217&semi;ve become much easier to live with now that I accept that losses are part and parcel of investing&period; You don&&num;8217&semi;t need every position you have to be a profitable one&period; Which is lucky&comma; because many of them won&&num;8217&semi;t be&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>It&&num;8217&semi;s the return of your whole portfolio that really matters&comma; and that&&num;8217&semi;s where your focus should be&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Although I track <a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;www&period;itinvestor&period;co&period;uk&sol;2018&sol;08&sol;how-to-measure-your-portfolio-performance&sol;">the overall performance<&sol;a> of my portfolio&comma; I don&&num;8217&semi;t monitor how well each individual position is performing &lpar;other than for capital gains tax purposes for those held outside an ISA or SIPP&rpar;&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Of course&comma; I&&num;8217&semi;ve still got a rough idea of what&&num;8217&semi;s doing well or what seems to be lagging behind&period; But when it comes to any decision to sell&comma; leave alone&comma; or buy more&comma; I try to focus on the current position size&comma; not the price I paid or what it peaked at&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<h2>2&period; Focus on the income produced<&sol;h2>&NewLine;<p>I have to confess that I check my portfolio&&num;8217&semi;s value far too often&period; Often several times a day&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>One thing I&&num;8217&semi;ve found very helpful is to put the annual income it produces right next to my portfolio&&num;8217&semi;s value&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>I want to build that income number to fund my living expenses&comma; so it makes sense to give it equal prominence&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Another advantage is that this number doesn&&num;8217&semi;t move very much&period; I have some dividends denominated in dollars and euros&comma; so it does move a little as exchange rates zip around&period; But&comma; on the whole&comma; it remains reassuringly stable from day to day&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>In most cases&comma; I&&num;8217&semi;ll use the last year&&num;8217&semi;s dividend&period; When a company announces a dividend target or increases the rate of its quarterly payments&comma; I use that instead&period; This makes it an estimate for the forthcoming year&&num;8217&semi;s income&comma; but hopefully a slightly conservative one&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Another benefit is that you should get to see the income figure steadily rise over the course of the year as you buy new shares or <a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;www&period;itinvestor&period;co&period;uk&sol;2018&sol;10&sol;investment-trust-dividends&sol;">a dividend increase<&sol;a> is announced&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>That&&num;8217&semi;s soothing for the soul&&num;8230&semi; and the wallet&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<h2>The high-yield trap<&sol;h2>&NewLine;<p>The main danger&comma; or at least the main one that I perceive right now&comma; is that it could lure me into preferring high-income investments at the expense of low-income ones&period; There should be a place for both in your portfolio I think&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Therefore&comma; I track my portfolio&&num;8217&semi;s overall yield to make sure I&&num;8217&semi;m not getting too income-obsessed&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Currently&comma; the overall yield in my main portfolio is 3&period;1&percnt; with the individual trusts varying from 0&percnt; &lpar;Smithson&rpar; to 8&period;2&percnt; &lpar;Baronsmead Venture Trust&rpar;&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Now&comma; I&&num;8217&semi;ve only been using this approach during a period of <em>rising<&sol;em> dividends&period; In fact&comma; I don&&num;8217&semi;t think I have had to enter a dividend decrease since I started doing it&period; It remains to be seen quite how I&&num;8217&semi;ll feel should the income number drop by a significant amount&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Investment trusts have a good record of maintaining their dividends over time&comma; so this may not be an issue&period; But it&&num;8217&semi;s still something I need to be prepared for&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<h2>3&period; Focus on how much you can put in<&sol;h2>&NewLine;<p>As I check my portfolio far too much&comma; I try to put that time to some good use&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Right below my portfolio value is a little list of the amounts I plan to invest over the course of the next year or so&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>I have a calendar of forthcoming dividend payments so I know roughly how much I&&num;8217&semi;ll have available each quarter&period; And I include any planned ISA or pension contributions&period; Any investments I plan to sell to use up my annual capital gains allowance go in there as well&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>As I don&&num;8217&semi;t chop and change my investments too much&comma; this doesn&&num;8217&semi;t take too much maintenance&period; But looking at this list on a regular basis helps me focus on one of the main things I can control about my investments &&num;8212&semi; how much I can put in&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<h2>Budget boost<&sol;h2>&NewLine;<p>As with the income figure&comma; I don&&num;8217&semi;t want to see the amount I plan to invest go down&period; So I think this helps me to budget properly and free up more money to invest&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>I don&&num;8217&semi;t tend to decide exactly what I am investing in that much ahead of time&period; I pencil in a few options for the next dividend reinvestment&comma; based upon my current portfolio weightings and how I&&num;8217&semi;d like to tweak them&period; But that&&num;8217&semi;s pretty much it&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Anyway&comma; must dash&period; Portfolios don&&num;8217&semi;t look at themselves you know&excl;<&sol;p>&NewLine; &NewLine;&nbsp&semi;&NewLine;<hr style&equals;"height&colon;3px">&NewLine;<h3>Disclaimer<&sol;h3>&NewLine;<p>Please note that I may own some of the investments mentioned above -- you can see my current holdings on <a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;www&period;itinvestor&period;co&period;uk&sol;portfolio&sol;">my portfolio page<&sol;a>&period; <&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Nothing on this website should be regarded as a buy or sell recommendation as I'm just a random person writing a blog in his spare time and I am not authorised to give financial advice&period; Always do your own research and seek financial advice if necessary&excl;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<hr style&equals;""height&colon;3px"">&NewLine;<h3>Subscribe to IT Investor<&sol;h3>&NewLine;<p>Get an email alert every time I publish a new article&period; Your email address won't be used for anything else&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><div class&equals;"tnp tnp-subscription ">&NewLine;<form method&equals;"post" action&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;www&period;itinvestor&period;co&period;uk&sol;wp-admin&sol;admin-ajax&period;php&quest;action&equals;tnp&amp&semi;na&equals;s">&NewLine;<input type&equals;"hidden" name&equals;"nlang" value&equals;"">&NewLine;<div class&equals;"tnp-field tnp-field-email"><label for&equals;"tnp-1">Enter your email address&period;&period;&period;<&sol;label>&NewLine;<input class&equals;"tnp-email" type&equals;"email" name&equals;"ne" id&equals;"tnp-1" value&equals;"" placeholder&equals;"" required><&sol;div>&NewLine;<div class&equals;"tnp-field tnp-field-button" style&equals;"text-align&colon; left"><input class&equals;"tnp-submit" type&equals;"submit" value&equals;"Click here to subscribe" style&equals;"">&NewLine;<&sol;div>&NewLine;<&sol;form>&NewLine;<&sol;div>&NewLine;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<hr style&equals;""height&colon;3px"">&NewLine;&NewLine;<&sol;p>&NewLine;

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